Friday, November 22, 2013

Atria Russia – Hopefully small will be beautiful



Atria’s Interim Report Q3/2013 tells on page 6 that the primary production in Russia has been unprofitable. But most importantly, the statement implicitly suggests that the Moscow unit has no longer been unprofitable. Still, also it will be now abandoned.  

Atria Russia will discontinue its unprofitable primary pork production in Russia. Furthermore, the industrial production and logistics unit located in Moscow will be discontinued by the end of 2014.

Anyway, Atria Russia is now the same as Pit Product and practically the same as the Gorelovo plant and logistic center.  Plant’s capacity utilization rate is about 60 to 70 percent. Currently Atria Russia’s yearly revenues is about €125 million, which means a crude and naïve forecast of about €200 million in the coming years at most.  This in turn means yearly EBIT about €10 million at most.  Hype is over. 

In St. Petersburg Atria’s market share has long been about 25 percent.  It cannot become much larger.  Atria’s convenience food launch is of course a good way to increase sales also in Moscow.  But there is one way more.  Namely Atria Russia has recently and repeatedly told that, in addition to hypermarkets, it has found a clientele of small retail shops in St. Petersburg. This photo on a fresh news page suggests that the company has some suitable means of transportation. Small is beautiful also in Russia? Hopefully yes.

There is still one thing that leads to ask whether small will be beautiful.  This thing is Sibylla fast food chain.  It operates in ten European countries, Sweden, Finland, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Russia.  Outside Sweden, Sibylla outlets are not only small but mostly tiny and therefore their product range is fairly narrow.  However, the chain keeps growing and currently the number of outlets in Russia is not far from 1000.  They are located at gas stations, sports arenas, concert halls, universities for example. Here’s a map.  It in fact misses the newest ones in Omsk and Novosibirsk, that’s Southern Siberia. And here is a fan of the KHL team HC Ugra from the city of Khanty-Mansiysk. There is going on one of Sibylla Russia’s latest promotions.  Sibylla’s slogan in Russia seems to be “Tasty and Healthy”.  One may doubt its brilliance for fast food generally and for average sports fans specifically. 

All in all, many believe that Atria Russia is on its way to profits. However, the money can be wasted in so many ways and almost record weak ruble surely hurts pork import and diminishes profits anyway.  Nevertheless, Jarmo Lindholm, EVP Atria Russia, is exceedingly positive. He has said recently in a broad interview that by 2015 Atria Russia will be the most profitable part of the whole Group.  One must hope, that it means prosperity in Russia rather than ruin in other business areas.


We will look at Atria later but on Thursday, December 5th, we are going to look at HKScan’s businesses.  Soften your downfall - be small.


This is Artoparto and here is my Disclaimer.  Please read it.

Disclaimer:  All content provided on this site is for entertainment purposes only.  This site does not provide any investment advice and content on this site should not be construed as recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments.  Please consult a qualified financial adviser before making any financial decision.  I make no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information on this site or found by following any link on this site.  I will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from displaying or using any content provided on this site.  I am not responsible for users' comments.  I reserve the right to update or delete any content on this site for any reason.



Friday, November 8, 2013

HKScan aims to reduce debt quickly



It was nice to notice, that HKScan’s Q3 EPS was decent, although the earnings in Finland were lower than one ever could have expected and in addition, only in The Baltics the result was truly good. The decent EPS was of course due to decreased financial costs.  Consequently, if the Group just could keep financial costs this low, there is no need to achieve top result in every marketing area, and still achieve a proper result.

In the Q3 Interim Report, there is this extremely interesting statement [emphasis added]:

“At the end of September, a new development programme was launched. The new programme will run until the end of 2014 and it targets an annual cost reduction exceeding EUR 20 million and a reduction of over EUR 50 million in net debt.”

If I get it right, which is not often the case, HKScan intends to reduce its debt considerably during 2014. Moreover, the Q3 Interim Report tells that “Negotiations concerning the refinancing of loans maturing in June 2014 are currently being conducted.” Could it be possible, that HKScan is going to sell its stake in Sokołów?  In a recent interview Bogusław Miszczuk, CEO Sokołów, says that they do not plan to invest markedly in 2014 and then he continues by saying that during the next few years after 2014 they plan to make significant investments.  If HKScan ever will step aside and sell its stake, one may guess, that it happens in 2014. 

One cannot know HKScan’s plans with Sokołów, but in Sweden it very much looks like as if Scan’s performance has begun to improve.  At least Göran Holm, EVP HKScan Sweden from December 2012, is sure of that.  Recently, after the positive Q2, he said in an interview that this is just the beginning. Holm should know. He wasn’t born yesterday. In the past he has been in senior executive positions in Sweden at Coca Cola and Johnson & Johnson, about 20 years in total.

HKScan Baltics is again, after three bad quarters, in marvelous shape and somewhat underperforming HKScan Denmark alone cannot destroy the whole Group’s result.  This means that the only real headache is HKScan Finland. 


We will discuss HKScan later but on Friday, November 22nd, we are going to look at Atria’s businesses.  Writing poems? Minimalism is the key!

This is Artoparto and here is my Disclaimer.  Please read it.

Disclaimer:  All content provided on this site is for entertainment purposes only.  This site does not provide any investment advice and content on this site should not be construed as recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments.  Please consult a qualified financial adviser before making any financial decision.  I make no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information on this site or found by following any link on this site.  I will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from displaying or using any content provided on this site.  I am not responsible for users' comments.  I reserve the right to update or delete any content on this site for any reason.

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

HKScan Q3 – Financial costs reduced but Finland plunged



HKScan’s Q3 earnings per share met expectations.  Result in the Baltics was a big positive surprise and HKScan’s businesses in Sweden went slightly better than expected.  Especially encouraging is the fact that that financial costs reduced markedly. However, in Finland the earnings tumbled down and the result in Poland – after the excellent H1 - has now turned to worse.  The result in Denmark was a disappointment as well.  We will return the Q3 Interim Report later this week.


This is Artoparto and here is my Disclaimer.  Please read it.


Disclaimer:  All content provided on this site is for entertainment purposes only.  This site does not provide any investment advice and content on this site should not be construed as recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments.  Please consult a qualified financial adviser before making any financial decision.  I make no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information on this site or found by following any link on this site.  I will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from displaying or using any content provided on this site.  I am not responsible for users' comments.  I reserve the right to update or delete any content on this site for any reason.


Friday, November 1, 2013

Atria Q3 - Atria Finland fell significantly short of expectations



Atria’s Q3 is not a catastrophe but still a clear disappointment.  Atria Finland fell significantly short of expectations and Atria Russia, even if non-recurring costs excluded, sadly came down and did not meet expectations.  Atria Scandinavia and Atria Baltic performed in line with expectations or even a little better.


This is Artoparto and here is my Disclaimer.  Please read it.


Disclaimer:  All content provided on this site is for entertainment purposes only.  This site does not provide any investment advice and content on this site should not be construed as recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments.  Please consult a qualified financial adviser before making any financial decision.  I make no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or validity, of any information on this site or found by following any link on this site.  I will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from displaying or using any content provided on this site.  I am not responsible for users' comments.  I reserve the right to update or delete any content on this site for any reason.